Published 18 August 2020
Buckie Got It, St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
St. Kitts Met Services
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
10:40 AM LST TUE AUG 18 2020
…TROPICAL CYCLONE EXPECTED TO FORM AND THREATEN NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN…
THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES IS CLOSELY FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL98 LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC. IT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO IMPACT THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND.
GIVEN THE NORMAL UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK, INTENSITY AND SIZE OF THE EVENTUAL TROPICAL CYCLONE, WHICH WILL DEVELOP FROM AL98, IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT WHAT EXACT TROPICAL-CYCLONE-HAZARD VALUES, IF ANY, ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR, THIS FAR IN ADVANCE.
NOTWITHSTANDING, THE DISTURBANCE COULD BE IN THE VICINITY AROUND FRIDAY/SATURDAY, AS A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE. THE THREAT LEVEL IS LITTLE TO NONE, AT THIS TIME, BUT IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO, AT LEAST, ELEVATED LEVELS LATER TODAY; HENCE, A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT WILL BE REQUIRED THEN. TO BE SAFE, HAVE YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLANS PREPARED AND MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY.
AT 10 AM LST OR 1400 UTC, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL98 WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 36.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1720 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS, MOVING WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST AT AROUND 18 MPH.
