Weather

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2020

Published 4 September 2020

Buckie Got It, St. Kitts and Nevis News Source

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2020
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
** The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Omar, located about 500 miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the north-central Atlantic about 500 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. This low is moving north-northeastward toward cooler waters, and development as a subtropical or tropical cyclone is not expected.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent.

A nearly stationary broad area of low pressure is located over the east-central tropical Atlantic about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and some development is possible during the next couple of days before it merges or interacts with a large tropical wave located to its east.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

A tropical wave and area of low pressure located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected as it moves westward to west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week when the system reaches the central tropical Atlantic.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Gradual development of this system is then expected, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

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