Published 13 August 2021
Basseterre
Buckie Got It, St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT
STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM WATCH STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11 AM ECT FRI, AUG 13, 2021
THIS IS FOR ST KITT’S AND NEVIS
…POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND AFFECT THE AREA…
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ST. KITT’S AND NEVIS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN 48 HOURS.
A WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL 95 IS NOW POTENTIAL TROPICAL
CYCLONE SEVEN. THERE ARE STILL INHERENT UNCERTAINTIES;
HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM AS IT NEARS THE ISLANDS. AT THE REASONABLE WORST-
CASE, THE SYSTEM POSES A MODERATE THREAT, WITH THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM STORM-FORCE-
WINDS, HIGH SEAS, AND MODERATE FLOODING, RESULTING IN LIFE-
THREATENING CONDITIONS, DISRUPTIONS TO DAILY LIFE AND
DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE. TO BE SAFE, START TO IMPLEMENT
YOUR HURRICANE SEASON DISASTER PLANS FOR A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM.
AT 11 AM ECT OR 1500 UTC, THE CENTRE OF POTENTIAL
TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3
NORTH, LONGITUDE 49.3 WEST OR ABOUT 900 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF ST. KITT’S AND NEVIS MOVING WEST AT 21 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS FORECAST AND THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT AND
TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY. FORMATION CHANCE TO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE IS 80 PERCENT OR HIGH, THROUGH 48 HOURS.
ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY AFFECT ST.
KITT’S AND NEVIS LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME, IT
IS MOSTLY LIKELY THAT IT WILL BE A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
WHEN IT REACHES THE ISLANDS; HOWEVER, THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR IT TO IMPACT THE AREA AS A STRONG TROPICAL
STORM. NOTWITHSTANDING, THERE IS STILL ENOUGH TIME FOR IT
TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND SPARE THE ISLANDS THE WORST OF
ITS WEATHER.
RESIDENTS SHOULD START TO IMPLEMENT THEIR HURRICANE
SEASON PLANS FOR POTENTIALLY A STRONG TROPICAL STORM TO
SAFEGUARD LIFE, PROPERTY, AND LIVELIHOOD, IN THE EVENT A
WARNING IS ISSUED, BY EARLY TOMORROW.
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER, IF REQUIRED.
FORECASTER
JALEEL JACOBS/LORNE SALMON
