Published August 29 2022
Basseterre
Buckie Got It, St Kitts and Nevis News Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (AL91) ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
12:07 PM ECT MON, AUG 29, 2022
THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS IN
OUR MONITORED AREA OF CONCERN BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT THIS TIME.
BASED ON LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, IT IS TOO EARLY TO SAY WHAT IMPACTS, IF ANY, THE DISTURBANCE (AL91) WILL HAVE ON THE ISLANDS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS. AT THIS TIME. RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.
AT 8 AM ECT OR 1200 UTC, THE DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 954 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1123 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION, ALONG WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
EARLIER, SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE WAS PRODUCING WINDS OF 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND THERE IS A 80 PERCENT OR HIGH CHANCE OF THE DISTURBANCE
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER THIS WEEK IF THE CENTER BECOMES BETTER DEFINED.
THERE ARE NO WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME; HOWEVER, RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT AROUND 8 PM ECT TONIGHT, IF NEEDED.
FORECASTER
ORVIN PAIGE
