Published 27 September 2023
Basseterre
Buckie Got It, St Kitts Nevis News Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT
STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ALERT STATEMENT ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
5:45 PM ECT WED SEP 27 2023
…PHILIPPE MOVING SLOWER…
…THE SYSTEM COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS…
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA, THE REST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL STORM IS IN THE MONITORED AREA OF CONCERN, WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY
BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT 18 TO 36 HOURS.
CONFIDENCE IN THE EVENTUAL PATH AND INTENSITY OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE REMAINS RELATIVELY LOW. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK MORE WEST THAN NORTH. GIVEN THE LATEST UPDATE, FOR THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE STORM POSES AN ELEVATED OR
MINOR THREAT TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LIMITED IMPACTS FROM MINIMAL STORM-FORCE WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTENSIVE IMPACTS FROM ABOVE-NORMAL SWELLS.
AT 5 PM ECT OR 2100 UTC, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 54.0 WEST OR ABOUT 509 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 709 MILES EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. A WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, WITH SLOW WEAKENING FORECAST THIS WEEKEND.
BASED ON THE FORECAST MODEL TRACKS, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE IS FORECAST TO PASS OVER OR VERY CLOSE TO THE ISLANDS; HOWEVER, THE CHANCE OF SUSTAINED STORM-FORCE WINDS REACHING THE ISLANDS REMAINS QUITE LOW, BUT THIS COULD INCREASE, ESPECIALLY IF
THE TRACK CONTINUE TO SHIFT SOUTH.
WATCHES AND OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN BY TOMORROW.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION, IF A WATCH OR WARNING BECOMES NECESSARY. ALL ARE ALSO STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO STAY PREPARED FOR THE REST OF THE HURRICANE SEASON.
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN BY 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT, OR SOONER, IF REQUIRED.
FORECASTER
DALE DESTIN
