Published 2 October 2023
Basseterre
Buckie Got It, St Kitts and Nevis
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT
STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WATCH STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 5:00 AM ECT MON, OCT 2, 2023
THIS IS FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA ..HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT INCREASING FOR THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS DUE TO PHILIPPE…
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSE A POSSIBLE THREAT TO THE SPECIFIED
AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 60.0 WEST OR 159 MILES EAST OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. PHILIPPE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS
FORECAST TO OCCUR BY LATE TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWARD MOTION ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, BUT PHILIPPE COULD BEGIN TO INTENSIFY
MORE SIGNIFICANTLY AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM), PRIMARILY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB (29.47
INCHES).
BASED UPON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTHEAST OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA LATER TODAY.
THE THREAT OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS REMAINS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME BUT COULD INCREASE IF THE SYSTEM SHIFTS FURTHER WEST AND MOVES DIRECTLY OVER THE
ISLANDS.
RAINFALL TOTAL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF PHILIPPE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN FLOOD PRONE AND LOW-LYING AREAS. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH WILL BECOME NECESSARY LATER TODAY SWELLS UP TO 8 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT COASTAL AREAS AND THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. MARINERS ARE ASKED
TO STAY IN PORT AND SEA BATHERS SHOULD AVOID THE BEACHES ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NORTH AND EAST COASTLINES ON MONDAY.
ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF PHILIPPE AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE MORE SPECIFIC ACTIONS IF A TROPICAL STORM WARNING BECOMES NECESSARY.
REPEATING THE 5 AM ECT POSITION, 17.1 N, 60.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998
MB OR 29.47 INCHES
FORECASTER
LENARD JOSIAH/TRECY SPENCER-LAKE
