Published 2 October 2023
Basseterre
Buckie Got It, St Kitts and Nevis
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT
STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:00 AM ECT MON, OCT 2, 2023
THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS PHILIPPE COULD BRING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING TO PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER
TODAY.
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT, ST. KITTS, NEVIS, ANGUILLA AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL STORM IS IN THE MONITORED AREA OF CONCERN, AND WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED AT SHORT NOTICE AT 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST OR APPROXIMATELY 72 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND APPROXIMATELY 236 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BVI.
PHILIPPE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS
FORECAST TO OCCUR BY LATE TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWARD MOTION ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. NOTE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY OCCUR AFTER THE CENTRE PASSES.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, BUT PHILIPPE COULD BEGIN TO INTENSIFY
MORE SIGNIFICANTLY AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM) FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB (29.53 INCHES).
BASED UPON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT.
RAINFALL TOTAL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF PHILIPPE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN FLOOD PRONE AND LOW LYING AREAS; HENCE A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR MONTSERRAT, ST.KITTS, NEVIS AND ANGUILLA LATER TODAY ABOVE NORMAL SEAS COULD IMPACT COASTAL AREAS; HENCE MARINE ADVISORIES WHICH INCLUDE HIGH SURF AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. MARINERS ARE ASKED TO STAY
IN PORT AND SEA BATHERS SHOULD AVOID THE BEACHES ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NORTH AND EAST COASTLINES TODAY.
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF PHILIPPE AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE MORE SPECIFIC ACTIONS IF REQUIRED.
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AT 5:00 PM OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.
