Published 19 October 2023
Basseterre
Buckie Got It Media Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WATCH STATEMENT ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 5:14 PM ECT THU, OCT 19, 2023
THIS IS FOR ST KITTS AND NEVIS
… A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. KITTS AND NEVIS…
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS PLANS SHOULD BE READY, AWAITING ACTIVATION.
AT 5 PM ECT OR 2100Z THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.
TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MILES PER HOUR. A SLOWER WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY, AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTRE OF TAMMY WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, BUT GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND TAMMY IS FORECAST TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE INTENSITY WHEN IT MOVES NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 125 MILES MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTRE.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB OR 29.56 INCHES.
BASED UPON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, TROPICAL STORM TAMMY IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT WE ARE EFFECTIVELY PREPARING FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO BE ACROSS ST. KITTS AND NEVIS LATE FRIDAY AND ON SATURDAY. THIS WATCH COULD BE FURTHER UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
MORE SPECIFIC IMPACTS INCLUDE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 70 MILES PER HOUR GUSTING TO 85 MILES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF TAMMY.
RAINFALL TOTAL IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY. SUCH RAINS COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUNDS.
MARINERS SHOULD STAY IN PORT AND SEEK SAFE ANCHORAGE. SEAS BATHERS SHOULD AVOID THE BEACHES AS DANGEROUS SURFS AND RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY WITH THE PASSAGE OF TAMMY.
ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF TAMMY CLOSELY AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 5 PM POSITION 13.7 N, 56.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 12 MIDNIGHT.
FORECASTER ORVIN PAIGE
