Published 14 August 2025
Buckie Got It,
St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERTSTATEMENT #3
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM ERIN ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
5:00 PM ECT THU, AUG 14, 2025
TROPICAL STORM ERIN IS IN THE MONITORED AREA…
…FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TOMORROW…
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
ANTIGUA, MONTSERRAT, ST. KITTS, NEVIS AND THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS IN
THIS CASE THAT TROPICAL STORM ERIN HAS ENTERED OUR
MOINITORED AREA BUT NOT CLOSE ENOUGH FOR A WATCH
OR WARNING TO BE ISSUED.
THE ST. KITTS AND NEVIS METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
CONTINUES TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
STRENGTHENING TROPICAL STORM ERIN. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY AND
POSSIBLY PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE TO ST. KITTS AND
NEVIS AND THE REST OF THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN.
HE BEST FORECAST REMAINS FOR THE CENTRE OF ERIN TO
PASS NORTH OF ALL THE ISLANDS. THE CHANCE OF STORM-
FORCE WINDS REACHING THE MENTIONED ISLANDS IS LOW.
HOWEVER, FURTHER SHIFTS TO THE SOUTH OR PERSISTENT
WESTWARD MOTION COULD BRING THE CORE OF THE
SYSTEM UNCOMFORTABLY CLOSE TO THE ISLANDS LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY. THE RISK FROM SWELLS
WILL RISE; HENCE, THOSE NEAR COASTAL AREAS SHOULD
BE AWARE. OTHER HAZARDS, SUCH AS HEAVY RAINFALLL
ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.
INTERESTS IN THE MENTIONED ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS CYCLONE AND, TO BE SAFE, BE
PREPARED FOR THE REST OF THE HURRICANE SEASON.
AT 5 PM OR 2100Z THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE
51.2 WEST OR ABOUT 760 MILES EAST OF ST. KITTS AND
NEVIS AND 873 MILES EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
TROPICAL STORM ERIN CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST AT 17 MILES PER HOUR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BEGINNING TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH MORE
SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 60 MILES
FROM THE CENTRE.
HE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB OR
29.47 INCHES.
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND MIDNIGHT, OR
SOONER IF REQUIRED.
FORECASTER
TRECY SPENCER-LAKE
