Published 29 August 2022
Basseterre
Buckie Got It St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (AL91) ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
8:00 PM ECT SUN, AUG 28, 2022
THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA OF CONCERN BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT THIS
TIME.
BASED ON LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, IT IS TOO EARLY TO SAY WHAT IMPACTS, IF ANY, THE DISTURBANCE (AL91) WILL HAVE ON THE ISLANDS AT THIS TIME. RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARDS
AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.
AT 8 PM ECT OR 0000 UTC, THE DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1090 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1290 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION, ALONG WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
EARLIER, SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE WAS PRODUCING WINDS OF 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND THERE IS A 70 PERCENT OR HIGH CHANCE OF THE DISTURBANCE BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER THIS WEEK IF THE CENTER BECOMES BETTER DEFINED.
THERE ARE NO WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME; HOWEVER, RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT AROUND 8 AM ECT TOMORROW OR SOONER, IF NEEDED.
FORECASTER LENARD JOSIAH
