Published 8 October 2025
Buckie Got It
St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM JERRY WATCH STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
2:43 PM ECT WED, OCT 8, 2025
THIS IS FOR ST KITTS AND NEVIS
TROPICAL STORM JERRY CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD…
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM POSE A POSSIBLE
THREAT TO THE SPECIFIED AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS.
AT 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 52.7 WEST OR APPROX 705
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH (37 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF JERRY IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND JERRY COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY THE WEEKEND.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KM) FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).BASED UPON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, THE CORE OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY CAUSING GUSTY CONDITIONS MAINLY IN SHOWERS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE PASSAGE OF JERRY WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING MAINLY IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS SWELLS GENERATED BY JERRY ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON THURSDAY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING CONDITIONS; HENCE, MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO STAY IN PORT ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF JERRY CLOSELY
FORECASTER
LENARD JOSIAH
