Published 9 August 2021
Basseterre
Buckie Got It, St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT
STATEMENT
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:00 AM ECT MON, AUG 9, 2021
THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE IS CLOSELY
FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM NEAR
THE AREA. THEREFORE, A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL
CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO FORM IN
OUR MONITORED AREA, BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT
THIS TIME.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE FORECAST TRACK, INTENSITY AND SIZE, IF
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 DEVELOPS INTO THE STORM IT IS STILL
IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT WHAT EXACTLY WILL BECOME OF THE SYSTEM, AT
THIS TIME. NOTWITHSTANDING, AT THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE,
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 POSES AN ELEVATED THREAT WITH THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE LIMITED IMPACTS FROM NEAR STORM FORCE WINDS,
HIGH SEAS AND MINOR FLOODING, WHICH COULD RESULT IN LIFE
THREATENING CONDITIONS, SOME DISRUPTION TO DAILY LIFE AND MINOR
DAMAGE TO INFRUSTRUCTURE.
AT 11AM ECT OR 1500Z TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 IS LOCATED ABOUT 330
MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND MOVING TOWARDS THE
WEST- NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. A NORTHERN TURN IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24HRS, WHICH COULD BRING THE SYSTEM NEAR TO THE
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN.
ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS TONIGHT AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS BY TUESDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY.
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT TO A TROPICAL STORM IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE
DISTURBANCE IS NEAR THE ISLANDS; HENCE, A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MAY BE REQUIRED.
ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94
CLOSELY AND HAVE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS PREPARED, IN THE
EVENT THAT QUICK ACTION IS REQUIRED TO SAFEGUARD, LIFE, PROPERTY
AND LIVELIHOOD.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 2 PM OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.
FORECASTER
PATRICE EDWARDS
