Published 16 October 2024
Buckie Got It
St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
9:00 PM ECT TUESDAY OCTOBER 15, 2024
…TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AND PASS OVER OR NEAR THE AREA…
THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE IS MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94. THE SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND PASS OVER OR NEAR THE AREA FRIDAY.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 WILL POSSIBLY BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. HOWEVER, MOST MODELS SURVEYED FORECAST THE CENTRE TO PASS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. BASED ON THE LATEST INFORMATION, THE RISK TO LIFE AND PROPERTY, IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, FROM THIS SYSTEM IS LOW; HOWEVER, BE AWARE, AND BE PREPARED FOR THE REST OF THE HURRICANE SEASON.
AT 8 PM ECT OR 0000 UTC, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 WAS CENTRED ABOUT 1108 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 17 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST; THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF AL94 BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN 48 HOURS AND A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF IT BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN SEVEN DAYS.
PLEASE NOTE THAT THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA; THUS, THERE ARE NO HAZARDS PROJECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM, AT THIS TIME.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR, BE AWARE AND REMAIN PREPARED FOR THE HURRICANE SEASON.
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 2 PM TOMORROW, OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.
FORECASTER DALE DESTIN