Buckie Got It
St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
Published 8 October 2025
Buckie Got It
St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM JERRY WATCH STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
5:11 PM ECT WED, OCT 8, 2025
THIS IS FOR ST KITTS AND NEVIS
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS WHEN JERRY PASSES NEARBY LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM POSE A POSSIBLE THREAT TO THE SPECIFIED AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS.
AT 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 54.7 WEST OR ABOUT 485 NAUTICAL MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH (37 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWARD MOTION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF JERRY IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND JERRY COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATE THIS WEEK OR THIS WEEKEND.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM) FROM THE CENTER.THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB (29.53 INCHES).
BASED UPON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, THE CORE OF JERRY IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY CAUSING GUSTY CONDITIONS MAINLY IN SHOWERS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE PASSAGE OF JERRY WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING MAINLY IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS SWELLS GENERATED BY JERRY ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON THURSDAY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING CONDITIONS; HENCE, MARINIERS ARE ADVISED TO STAY IN PORT NO SPECIFIC ACTION IS REQUIRED OF RESIDENTS OTHER THAN TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JERRY.
REPEATING THE 5:00 PM ECT POSITION, 14.8 N, 54.7W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 PM E.T.C
FORECASTER
ORVIN PAIGE
