Published 24 August 2025
Buckie Got It
St. Kitts and Nevis News Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION
STATEMENT
WOCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
10:00 AM ECT SUNDAY, AUGUST 24, 2025 …
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL99 APPROACHING THE CARIBBEAN…
THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CONTINUES TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL99. THE SYSTEM HAS A LESS THAN 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF AFFECTING THE REGIONS AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TO INCLUDE ANTIGUA, MONTSERRAT, ST. KITTS AND NEVIS THIS EVENING AND MONDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THIS DISTURBANCE IS LIGHTNING; BE PREPARED FOR SOME DISRUPTIONS FROM THIS HAZARD. MARINERS SHOULD ALSO BE AWARE OF POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. THE WIND RISK IS VERY LOW. INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ANDTHE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF AL99. TO BE SAFE, BE PREPARED FOR THE REST OF THE HURRICANE SEASON.
AT 10 AM ECT OR 1400 UTC, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL99 WAS CENTRED ABOUT 665 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND MOVING QUICKLY WEST AT ABOUT 23 MPH.
BASED ON ASCAT DATA, MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AROUND 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS SYSTEM COULD STILL DEVELOP AND BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM AT 40 PERCENT, AND FORMATION CHANCE OVER SEVEN DAYS IS ALSO MEDIUM AT 40 PERCENT.
PLEASE NOTE THAT THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA, AND NONE IS LIKELY TO BE REQUIRED.
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 2 PM TOMORROW, OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.
FORECASTER DALE DESTIN
