Published 20 October 2023
Basseterre
Buckie Got It Media Source
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
HURRICANE TAMMY WARNING STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 11:21 AM ECT FRI, OCT 20, 2023
THIS IS FOR ST KITTS AND NEVIS
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS SHOULD RUSH ALL DISASTER PREPARATIONS TO COMPLETION AND SEEK SAFE SHELTER.
AT 11:00 AM AST OR 15 00 UTC, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST OR ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST.KITTS.
TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS ANTICIPATED BY THIS EVENING, FOLLOWED BY A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD TURN SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF TAMMY WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ON SATURDAY, AND THEN MOVE NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SUNDAY.
DATA FROM THE NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES (35 KM) FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM).
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB OR 29.53 INCHES.
BASED UPON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, TAMMY REMAINS ON A PATH TOWARDS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY WITH WINDS BETWEEN 50 TO 70 MPH. RAINFALL ACCUMULATION IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF TAMMY; THEREFORE RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND AND RESIDENTS NEAR SLOPES SHOULD GUARD AGAINST MUDSLIDES.
MARINERS SHOULD COMPLETE SAFE ANCHORAGE. SEAS WILL DETERIORATING AND WILL PEAK NEAR 12 FEET OR HIGHER IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS THE STORM DRAWS NEAR. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO SEEK SAFE ANCHORAGE AND REMAIN IN PORT.
ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF TAMMY CLOSELY AND ACT TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 PM OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.
FORECASTER PATRICE EDWARDS
