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TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD DEVELOP STATEMENT

Published 10 August 2024

Buckie Got It, St. Kitts and Nevis News Source

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION
STATEMENT
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE 4:10 PM ECT FRIDAY AUGUST 09 2024 …
TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD AFFECT THE AREA…


THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CONTINUES TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF AN ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE, OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC. THE SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP FURTHER AND BECOME A CONCERN FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS NEXT WEEK TUESDAY.


THE TROPICAL WAVE COULD BECOME DISTURBANCE AL98 IN DAYS, AND
PERHAPS GO ON TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM BEFORE REACHING THE CARIBBEAN. AT THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM POSES LITTLE TO NO THREAT TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.


THE RISK OF WIND, RAINFALL OR SEAS IS VERY LOW, SO NO ACTION IS
REQUIRED AT THIS TIME OTHER THAN MONITORING.


AT 2 PM ECT OR 1800 UTC, THE TROPICAL WAVE OF INTEREST WAS LOCATED


ABOUT 1706 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST
AT AROUND 15 MPH.


MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL
STORM COULD FORM IN SEVEN DAYS. FORMATION COULD TAKE PLACE NEAR
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. THERE IS A NEAR-ZERO PERCENT CHANCE OF
FORMATION IN 48 HOURS AND A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FORMATION IN SEVEN DAYS.


NO PARTICULAR HAZARD IS BEING FORECAST AT THIS TIME AS THE SYSTEM IS STILL VERY FAR AWAY WITH LOTS OF ROOM FOR A NUMBER OF SCENARIOS TO
PLAY OUT. ALSO, THE UNCERTAINTIES ARE QUITE HIGH FOR WHAT WILL
HAPPEN. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT FOR THE AREA; HOWEVER, THIS COULD CHANGE IN 48 HOURS.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY AND
ENSURE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS ARE PREPARED.


THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 2 PM TOMORROW, OR SOONER IF
REQUIRED.


FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

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